Category Archives: Conflict Geography

The foundation for grounded strategic thought

Post-war Ukraine

Posted on September 17, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Right now, it seems that the near-future combat front lines (as mapped by Suriyakmaps more-or-less?), where those lines will be four months from now (mid-Jan 2025), will trace the most likely future international border of Ukraine. This prediction assumes that … Continue reading →

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Ukrainian Participation at D-Day Memorial?

Posted on June 6, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Haven’t said anything recently about the stupid Ukraine war. So much moving so fast.  Let’s start with Macron. The Frenchies are now all about allowing Ukraine to fire ‘western’ weapons into Russia? They even want to send more ‘western’ military … Continue reading →

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Where Will It End? (In Ukraine)

Posted on May 12, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Willy ended his show today, 12 May, with a reasonable “No one bloody knows.” Russia’s Real Goal As Multiple Positions FALL – ‘Extremely Dire’ – Ukraine War Map Analysis (youtube.com) The Russian territorial advance has picked up speed of late, … Continue reading →

Posted in Conflict Geography, Conflict Geography, Geography | 3 Comments

Attrition Warfare?

Posted on May 11, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Nah, not really Willy OAM has a nice discussion page for the Ukraine war. Today, 11 May, I made another comment there. RU Northern Offensive – Perfect Timing, Part Of A Bigger Plan? Deception? – Ukraine War Map Analysis (youtube.com) … Continue reading →

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They Have a Council You Say?

Posted on May 6, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Here’s a headline from ‘Natural News” aggregated in Citizen Free Press — Ukraine Petitions Council of Europe to Cancel Elections, Suspend Human Rights Protections in Order to “Stop Russia” Folks, I can’t help but think that this suspension of rights … Continue reading →

Posted in Conflict Geography, Conflict Geography, Culture, Geography, Jurisprudence, Lawfare, Strategy, Uncategorized, Worldview | 1 Comment

Ukrainya

Posted on May 1, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

I decided to make another comment at Willie OAM’s site. Here below is that comment in full: “Willie, at around the 19- or 20-minute mark you talk about how the US won’t pull out of NATO. You had also talked … Continue reading →

Posted in Clausewitz Sucks, Conflict Geography, Conflict Geography, Geography, Strategy, The War for America, Worldview | 7 Comments

Solve Your Homeless ‘Crisis’

Posted on April 27, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Here’s how to do it in your community, county, state. (You’re welcome.)

Posted in Conflict Geography, Conflict Geography, Culture, Geography, Property, Worldview | 5 Comments

Guerrilla War

Posted on April 23, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

OK, this post also refers to someone else who knows more. Frustrating how many of those there are.  Willie OAM, on this very April 24, 2024 (15) UA Withdraws As RU Exploits An Opportunity – Can This Be Overcome? – … Continue reading →

Posted in Clausewitz Sucks, Conflict Geography, Conflict Geography, Geography, Strategy, Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Niger and Strategic Competence

Posted on April 22, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

Sometimes we need to just wait and see. One unfortunate aspect of extant strategy grammar is the presumed, even glorified, carte blanche it gives to governments to hide details from their publics. Secrecy in international dealings kinda makes sense, doesn’t … Continue reading →

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Risk Distance and the Vantasner Danger Meridian

Posted on April 7, 2024 by Holmes Oliver

We decided to binge-watch the television series “Patriot.” The show introduced, as one of its unifying themes, a thing called the ‘Vantasner Danger Meridian.’  After not finding enough about it on plain old Google, I figured I’d talk it up with ChatPGT-4.  … Continue reading →

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